Biden’s strategy to deter Russian invasion by massively arming Ukraine is playing with nuclear fire. Russian nuclear weapons are not only a deterrent but militarily practical for use on the battlefield. Moreover, Russian nuclear warheads are more technologically advanced: designed for ultra-low-yields for use by land, sea and air forces specialized effects like neutrons, X-rays and electromagnetic pulse and “clean” so they produce no radioactive fallout. warheads, all of which are based in Europe. Russia has an overwhelming advantage in tactical nuclear weapons, an estimated 2,000-8,000 warheads versus 180 tactical U.S. RAND analysis finds a Russian invasion of NATO’s Baltic states cannot be defeated, even if the U.S. Defense Department and RAND Wargames show that Russia can overrun Ukraine and the frontline NATO states in Eastern Europe in 72 hours. Russia’s strategic interests in Ukraine, a combination of legitimate defensive concerns and illegitimate aggressive designs, far outweigh NATO’s political will or military capability to defend Ukraine. Ukraine, if annexed by Russia, will enable Moscow to move its missiles, air forces and armies into western Ukraine and Belarus, along the entire eastern border of NATO member Poland, posing a steel spearhead that could knife through NATO to the English Channel, as the USSR threatened to do during the Cold War.Ukraine, according to Russian dictator President Vladimir Putin, is Russia’s “Slavic brother” and, as part of the former Soviet Union, belongs in a New Russian Empire.Ukrainian territory is traversed by Russian petroleum pipelines that are a major source of Moscow’s revenue.Ukrainian entry into NATO, official or de facto, Russia perceives as an existential threat, as NATO missiles, air forces and armies advanced to eastern Ukraine would be only 300 miles from Moscow, within easy striking distance for surprise attack.
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